In terms of goods, cross-border ecommerce growth - including fulfilment, parcel dispatch and reaching customers overseas - is expected to hit $1tn in 2030 as more businesses engage in international trade and embrace digital sales

Global merchandise value for cross-border ecommerce, $bn

Base projections

Bold projections

Global merchandise value for cross-border ecommerce, $bn

2,000

1,500

1,000

500

0

2020

2025

2030

Ecommerce penetration, %

Cross-border ecommerce penetration, %

30

%

25

20

15

10

5

0

2020

2025

2030

2020

2025

2030

Base projections

Bold projections

Global merchandise value for cross-border ecommerce, $bn

Ecommerce penetration, %

Cross-border ecommerce penetration, %

2,000

30

%

25

1,500

20

1,000

15

10

500

5

0

0

2020

2025

2030

2020

2025

2030

2020

2025

2030

Base projections

Bold projections

Global merchandise value for cross-border ecommerce, $bn

Ecommerce penetration, %

Cross-border ecommerce penetration, %

2,000

30

%

25

1,500

20

1,000

15

10

500

5

0

0

2020

2025

2030

2020

2025

2030

2020

2025

2030

Base projections

Bold projections

Global merchandise value for cross-border ecommerce, $bn

Ecommerce penetration, %

Cross-border ecommerce penetration, %

2,000

30

%

25

1,500

20

15

1,000

10

500

5

0

0

2020

2025

2030

2020

2025

2030

2020

2025

2030

McKinsey, 2022